Interesting Predictions on Election 08 from March

Found a great article posted in March ‘07 on how the Democratic nominees would turn out and how the Republicans need to run their race. Most of these predictions have run true, such as:

1. Barack Obama will explode during the campaign and make an incredibly stupid move much like John Kerry’s inexplicable response to the Swift Boat attacks of 2004. That will come from campaign inexperience. Further, the Clinton campaign will lull Obama into saying and doing stupid things again much like the way Bush manipulated John Kerry into his famous, “I voted against it before I voted for it.” foolishness. This too will come from campaign inexperience.

2. The Clinton campaign will not make any serious mistakes. It won’t run out of money. It won’t have to explain itself for long periods of time. It will get brutally bad press coverage, but Clinton will not snap like Nixon at his “last” press conference. She will soldier on competently meaning that she won’t accidentally kill her chances.

3. The Republican candidate will need a flawless campaign AND a “third variable” to win. Bill Clinton had Ross Perot (which took votes from Mr. Bush) and the End of the Cold War (which made Clinton’s foreign policy inexperience irrelevant). Remove either of these “third variables” and Bill Clinton is just another Michael Dukakis now teaching at a community college. Hillary Clinton is not going to need good luck like this, but the Republican will. The most likely “third variable” that would kill Hillary’s chances and aid the Republican is a serious third party candidate, probably from the anti-war left. If I was running a Republican campaign, I’d be doing everything I could to outrage the anti-war left of the Democrat party and provoke them into mounting a serious counter-campaign against Mrs. Clinton after she wins the nomination.

Let’s see how this turns out next year . I have a feeling Fred Thompson is going to win the Republican nomination and Hillary Clinton will win the Democrat nomination. I believe that with Hillary running for President, that will rile the Republican base like no other and Fred Thompson will squeak out a win. Hopefully!

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